Both Catholic — will Trump pick an Hispanic Cuban-American OR a Scalia protege with 7 kids?

To replace Supreme Court Justice  Ginsberg who recently died — which caused a huge surge in donations to the Democrats –– who will Trump  pick?  Two women — both Catholics  –  are likely prospects:   front runner Catholic    Amy Barrett  a conservative originalist/   Scalia protege  or Barbara Lago a Catholic and  Cuban American from Florida.  Barrett.

Think  about Trump’s Art of the Deal approach.  Trump needs to win 270 electorial votes  and Florida may be a key state.  Barbara Lagoa can  appeal not only to women in general but also to   Hispanics, Cubans  and Florida voters.

Both Barett and Lagoa are Catholics which  brings to the fore  the highly divisive issue of  abortion funding  and Wade vs Roe’s future.   Abortion comes back to the fore as a hot issue in the 2020 elections. So does freedom to practice one’s religion.  

The smear tactics used by the Democrats  on Kavanaugh  most  likely  will re- surface.

Remember what Kamala Harris  — now Biden’s running mate –  said in 2018:

“Kavanaugh chooses his words very carefully, and this is a dog whistle for going after birth control. He was nominated for the purpose of taking away a woman’s constitutionally protected right to make her own health care decisions. Make no mistake – this is about punishing women.”.    Kamala Harris led the attacks on Kavanaugh — remember?

 

This is from Forbes:   “Like several of the court’s more conservative justices, Amy Coney Barrett has described herself as an “originalist,” meaning she bases her rulings on what she believes was the original intent of the Constitution’s authors. A social conservative, Coney Barrett signed a joint letter in 2015, prior to becoming a judge, affirming “the value of human life from conception to natural death” and asserting that marriage is “founded on the indissoluble commitment of a man and a woman” — which raised concerned among LGBTQ groups that she would oppose gay marriage.’

Barbara Lagoa  may seem  a safer bet for Trump to get ‘on the ticket’ a woman, a woman of ‘color’ [loosely defined], a woman who can appeal to a wide range of voters [Florida, women, Hispanic, Cuban, conservatives] who will not worry Pro Choice voters.

Nominating Amy Barrett  or Barbara Lagoa may unleash the same  unbridled fury unleashed by the Democrats  on Kavanaugh  and — if that happens — it may just come back to bite  Democrats  on election day 2020.

In 1960 a central issue was whether Kennedy — a Catholic — would be  inappropriately influenced by his Catholic beliefs.  Kennedy had to overcome anti-Catholic bias. . K   Now we have two women — both Cathoic and both ‘conservative’ — nominated to be on the Supreme Court.

Trump must get a certain number of electoral votes.  Florida matters.  The state of Pennsylvania looks like it may be a mess with elections decided by the courts.  The whole ‘vote by mail’ is may tie the actual decision based on vote counting well  beyond Election Night. Both women are Catholic and equally likely to un-leash Democrat ire towards ProLife and fears about federal funding for abortions.

Which nominee is more likely to give Trump the necessary electoral votes he needs to get re-elected?

Barbara Lagoa has the edge.   As of 9/20/2020, Real Clear Politics  lists Biden 48.6 ahead  to 47.0 for Trump.   So Florida is one state which Trump must pay close attention to.

written by Cameron Jackson   

Monerey Bay Forum

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