To replace Supreme Court Justice Ginsberg who recently died — which caused a huge surge in donations to the Democrats –– who will Trump pick? Two women — both Catholics — are likely prospects: front runner Catholic Amy Barrett a conservative originalist/ Scalia protege or Barbara Lago a Catholic and Cuban American from Florida. Barrett.
Think about Trump’s Art of the Deal approach. Trump needs to win 270 electorial votes and Florida may be a key state. Barbara Lagoa can appeal not only to women in general but also to Hispanics, Cubans and Florida voters.
Both Barett and Lagoa are Catholics which brings to the fore the highly divisive issue of abortion funding and Wade vs Roe’s future. Abortion comes back to the fore as a hot issue in the 2020 elections. So does freedom to practice one’s religion.
The smear tactics used by the Democrats on Kavanaugh most likely will re- surface.
Remember what Kamala Harris — now Biden’s running mate — said in 2018:
This is from Forbes: “Like several of the court’s more conservative justices, Amy Coney Barrett has described herself as an “originalist,” meaning she bases her rulings on what she believes was the original intent of the Constitution’s authors. A social conservative, Coney Barrett signed a joint letter in 2015, prior to becoming a judge, affirming “the value of human life from conception to natural death” and asserting that marriage is “founded on the indissoluble commitment of a man and a woman” — which raised concerned among LGBTQ groups that she would oppose gay marriage.’
Barbara Lagoa may seem a safer bet for Trump to get ‘on the ticket’ a woman, a woman of ‘color’ [loosely defined], a woman who can appeal to a wide range of voters [Florida, women, Hispanic, Cuban, conservatives] who will not worry Pro Choice voters.
Nominating Amy Barrett or Barbara Lagoa may unleash the same unbridled fury unleashed by the Democrats on Kavanaugh and — if that happens — it may just come back to bite Democrats on election day 2020.
In 1960 a central issue was whether Kennedy — a Catholic — would be inappropriately influenced by his Catholic beliefs. Kennedy had to overcome anti-Catholic bias. . K Now we have two women — both Cathoic and both ‘conservative’ — nominated to be on the Supreme Court.
Trump must get a certain number of electoral votes. Florida matters. The state of Pennsylvania looks like it may be a mess with elections decided by the courts. The whole ‘vote by mail’ is may tie the actual decision based on vote counting well beyond Election Night. Both women are Catholic and equally likely to un-leash Democrat ire towards ProLife and fears about federal funding for abortions.
Which nominee is more likely to give Trump the necessary electoral votes he needs to get re-elected?
Barbara Lagoa has the edge. As of 9/20/2020, Real Clear Politics lists Biden 48.6 ahead to 47.0 for Trump. So Florida is one state which Trump must pay close attention to.
written by Cameron Jackson
Monerey Bay Forum
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